Powell Play
Will former secretary of state Colin Powell endorse Barack Obama at next week's Democratic National Convention? Powell's camp issued denials last week, but the rumors persist from two very different sources:
On the Republican side: Bill Kristol, a former Dan Quayle aide and currently a Fox News Channel commentator and New York Times Op-Ed columnist. He launched the speculative fervor last week when he told Fox, "We all talk to people who talk to people." But does Powell think that people who need people are the luckiest people in the world? He says piffle, he's not Denver-bound.
Then, on the Democratic side: Willie Brown, former speaker of California State Assembly and ex-San Francisco mayor. In a Sunday column, Brown suggested Powell wouldn't fly to Denver, but a thumbs' up may still be in the works.
Regardless, Powell is now on the political watchdog list: His searches have popped 707% in the past week to make the top 30,000 terms. At least one thing may be certain: If Powell's not going to Denver, people who talk to people can take that one very special person off the Veep List.
Filed under: Politics, Predictions, News, Elections, Presidents
Vice Grip
Finding your one true mate takes a lot of heartfelt consideration. Despite the early guessing games, both Barack Obama and John McCain have refused to engage in any whirlwind political courtships.
As the Washington Post points out, the very timing of a running-mate announcement takes on huge political implications. McCain and Obama may also be waiting to see who the other guy comes up with, and will then try to pick a more attractive candidate. Yeah, it's prom politics.
But, as noted before in the Buzz Log, historically the tardiest debut for a running mate was August 16. Then again, with all the Olympics hoopla and the upcoming conventions (the Democratic on August 25-28 and the Republican on September 1-4), the two could make more history and drag out their announcements.
Ironically, of all the names floating around in pundit land, Obama's possibilities seem to be leaning toward older, experienced politicos with good military cred, while McCain appears to be on the prowl for a youthful, diverse candidate. John Kerry supposedly contemplated running on a cross-party ticket, but an Obama-McCain bumpersticker is an idea that the New Yorker has revived and still gets people thinkin'.
But back to reality, and the most-searched politicans who could be vice president...
Top Searched Veep Possibilities, Past 30 Days
| 1. | John Edwards (D). The man who tried for both slots leads the Search pack now, but he's more likely a shoo-in for a Cabinet position, if he's proven to be squeaky-clean. |
| 2. | Hillary Clinton (D). The woman who would be president but is willing to settle for VP has resurfaced to announce additional dates she'll be campaigning for Obama. So far, though, Obama won't be present at these campaign events. Not a good sign for VP speculators. |
| 3. | Mitt Romney (R). The former Massachusetts guv is one of the most consistently talked-about VP possibilities. He provides a strong economic background— something McCain lacks—plus some deep pockets. |
| 4. | Al Gore (D). Although a few pundits and a portion of the populace would love to see a repeat performance, Gore isn't likely to want to play second fiddle again. |
| 5. | Condoleezza Rice (R). She already nixed this possibility back in February, although observers claim she courted the possibility in spring. |
| 6. | Sarah Palin (R). The Alaska governor is not only popular among conservatives— she also has that oh-so-attractive XX chromosome. Negatives would be that Alaska is already considered GOP territory (Ted Stevens indictments aside), and she's not as well-known...although clearly her Search buzz has been growing. |
| 7. | Eric Cantor (R). The representative from Virginia is apparently on the short list. His age (45) and religious background (Jewish) would add diversity and youth to the ticket. |
| 8. | Tim Kaine (D). The Virginia governor has long been an Obama supporter and would bring executive-level experience to the partnership. |
| 9. | Bobby Jindal (R). Like Cantor, the Louisiana governor would bring youth (37) and diversity (Indian-American) to the ticket, and his willingness to be on late-night talk shows probably doesn't hurt. |
| 10. | Mike Huckabee (R). The former Arkansas governor and near McCain-spoiler just signed on to be a political commentator on Fox News for the rest of the 2008 election, so his chances look as slim as his waistline. |
| 11. | Tim Pawlenty (R). The Minnesota governor has executive-level experience, plus youth: His birthday is just nine months before Obama's. |
| 12. | Chuck Hagel (R). The Nebraska man is about to retire from his position as senator, but his moderate stance and opposition to the Iraqi war could be seen as liabilities. |
| 13. | Chet Edwards (D). Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi hearts this Texas congressman, and threw his name in the ring just to get one House guy in the running. Likely a long shot. |
| 14. | Sam Nunn (D). Another seasoned politician who would balance Obama's youth, the former Georgia senator once served as chairman of the all-powerful U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services. |
| 15. | Jim Webb (D). Once considered a strong contender, he strongly declined to run, saying he could do a better job electing Obama if he remained the senator of Virginia. |
Filed under: Politics, Elections, Presidents
One Vice President Please. Actually, Make That Two.
Just when are voters supposed to buy their bumper stickers?
With the Democratic primaries at last concluded, the citizenry is now supposed to concentrate on the candidates' message... except they're distracted by the gaping hole where a vice president should be standing. Impatient toe-tapping over "obama vice president candidates" (+540%) and, less so, "mccain vice president" has reverberated throughout Search.
You can probably hold off waxing the car bumper until after the Fourth of July weekend, though. The earliest that recent veepstake winners have been announced was July 6, when Democratic nominee John Kerry anointed then-Senator John Edwards as his political mate for the 2004 campaign. Twelve years before, Bill Clinton touted Al Gore on July 9. President George W. Bush made room on his 2000 presidential seat for Dick Cheney on July 25.
Moving even later into the season, Gore took until August 8 (2000) to present Joe Lieberman, and 1996 Republican nominee Robert Dole waited as long as August 16 to put Jack Kemp in the picture. Surely, neither John McCain nor Barack Obama will wait until the dog days of summer to put constituents out of their misery... right?
In the meantime, the 2008 rumor mill runs on steroids, what with Internet speculation on top of the 24-7 news cycle. Names now being tossed about for the Democratic ticket include "Wall Streeter" Bob Rubin as panacea for America's economic woes or Elizabeth Edwards as a likeable, female cancer survivor. House representative Nancy Pelosi has singled out Chet Edwards.
Some even want to revive an Al Gore ticket, a not unpopular recycling notion, but a distant second to Hillary Clinton among searchers. Gore barely aces out short-list candidate Senator Sam Nunn. (Speaking of former vice presidents, Dan Quayle isn't being suggested, but he's into heavy-set punditry now.)
Republican voters who feel a woman's place is in the White House consider three females as serious contenders, but Alaska governor Sarah Palin finds the most favor among searchers. However, hints are strong that McCain has already decided in favor of Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty.
For the Democratic cult worshippers, however, a humorist proposes the dream of all dream tickets: Obama-Obama. No, not Michelle... Barack Obama, squared. While backroom strategists figure out that Constitutional amendment, below are the veep possibilities generating the most online curiosity.
| 1. | Hillary Clinton (D) |
| 2. | Al Gore (D) |
| 3. | Sam Nunn (D) |
| 4. | Sarah Palin (R) |
| 5. | Chuck Hagel (R) |
| 6. | Condoleezza Rice (R) |
| 7. | John Edwards (D) |
| 8. | Mitt Romney (R) |
| 9. | Mike Huckabee (R) |
| 10. | Bobby Jindal (R) |
Filed under: Politics, History, Elections, Presidents, Barack Obama
Persistence of Rumor
In politics, there may be no high road on the Internet superhighway.
The Web has been the way to galvanize the populace. However, that same strength and speed have been co-opted by strategists in order to hijack the political conversation. Celebrities have long had to deal with the stubborn stain of rumors, but innuendo about presidential candidates has a far more corrosive effect.
So it seemed inevitable that Democratic contender Barack Obama would use the Internet again, and dedicate a new site www.fightthesmears.com to address rumors fueled by email, bloggers, and online outlets. Originally, his campaign site allowed visitors to "fact check" a rumor, but a Time magazine report said that feature somehow inflated even crazier variations.
The rumor-fighting site apparently arose when a McClatchy Newspapers reporter got on the nominee's last nerve, after he asked about an alleged tape of his wife using the word "whitey." In the post Swift-Boat world, the Obama camp apparently decided the risks in calling attention to a lie outweighed letting a rumor became malignant.
When the smears site debuted June 11, searches for the alleged Michelle Obama remark—which first registered in mid-May—were already on the decline. The site's launch has done no further harm, even though it addresses that rumor front and center. That particular search remains on the downslide, although the woman who would be First Lady remains under intense online scrutiny. On the upside, queries have risen exponentially for "fight the smears," "obama smears" and "obama smear campaign."
The site faces a long slog. Many of the same questions and rumors that plagued the candidates at the start of the primary season still persists six months later. As noted in a January politics Buzz Log, the question marks about Obama revolved around religion and patriotism... and that was before the flag-pin flap and Reverend Jeremiah Wright fall-out.
The preponderance of Obama's searches has been neutral, positive or just plain goofy. In the past seven days, benign curiousity has centered on "obama running mate," "obama tax plans" and obama parrot." Yet there are those who continue to seek out his birth certificate and religious connections.
Counterintuitively, online searches for rumors may be a good thing, as they should expose people to as many debunkers (like the Fight the Smears site) as the mongerers.
However the race evolves or devolves, the Internet's role will rank up there alongside the first viable female candidate and biracial nominee in 2008 presidential campaign firsts.
Filed under: Politics, Rumors, Email, Internet, Elections, Presidents
We Are Citizens, Hear Us Roar
For years, political pundits have been wringing their hands over dismal voter turnout. Now, with the most energized Democratic presidential primary race in decades, they've been nagging the candidates to wrap up their show, for the good of the party.
Well, the voters aren't ready to stop voting. In poll after poll, citizens are saying that they want their say. If the record turnouts haven't clued in political observers, this might: Searches for "register to vote" this year have more than doubled those in 2006 and 2007 combined.
People love their suffrage, whether it's choosing a president or anointing a celebrity. Speaking of which, two reality shows wrapping up this week have built their success on supersizing the democratic process. Forget the milquetoasty appeal of "one person, one vote."'ABC's "Dancing with the Stars" and FOX's "American Idol" welcome ballot-box stuffing with the glee of a penny-ante dictator.
Yes, the ABC ballroom competition does temper voters' passions with the judges' more measured expertise, like a pop-culture echo chamber of the Senate and the House of Representatives. The FOX singing contest, on the other hand, injects steroids into its audience's voting muscle—although unlike its creative progenitor, "Pop Idol," the judges winnow the hopefuls down to 12 before America gets to dial in.
That these two shows dominate this week's voting-related queries doesn't speak less of people's more sober civic duties, not even the negative campaigning that occupies the number one slot below. Instead, as the recent spike for "clinton supporters count too" underscores, it shows that the impulse to stand up and be counted shouldn't be counted out too soon.
Filed under: American Idol, Politics, Dancing With the Stars, Elections, Presidents
top movers
| Rank | Subject | 1-Day Move |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kara Dioguardi | Breakout! |
| 2 | Brooke Mueller | Breakout! |
| 3 | Genie Francis | Breakout! |
| 4 | Goliath Grouper Fish | Breakout! |
| 5 | Hari Puttar | Breakout! |
| 6 | Tropical Storm Gustav | Breakout! |
| 7 | Mia Hamm | 33250% |
| 8 | Ellen Barkin | 26799% |
| 9 | Luciana Barroso | 20830% |
| 10 | Giant Squid | 16720% |

top leaders
| Rank | Subject | Move | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Peet | +542 | 549 |
| 2 | Dancing With The Stars | +304 | 327 |
| 3 | 2008 Olympics | -377 | 323 |
| 4 | Ellen Barkin | +273 | 274 |
| 5 | Luciana Barroso | +245 | 246 |
| 6 | Mia Hamm | +229 | 229 |
| 7 | Hi-5 | -17 | 219 |
| 8 | Jessica Biel | +160 | 198 |
what's the buzz?
A subject's buzz score is the percentage of Yahoo! users searching for that subject on a given day, multiplied by a constant to make the number easier to read. Weekly leaders are the subjects with the greatest average buzz score for a given week.
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